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Melaka PRN · 25dSarawak PRN · 103d
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JOHOR-N.008 — Bukit Pasir

JOHOR

Results history

PRN Johor 2026 · 11 Jul 2026

BNUMNOwon
Mohamad Fazli bin Mohamad Salleh
57.5%14,220
PHAMANAH
Najib bin Lep
26.8%6,620
PNBERSATU
Mohd Idzharruddin bin Mohd Nasirruddin
15.7%3,872
PRN Johor 2022 · 12 Mar 2022 — won by BN · UMNO (32.1%)
BNUMNOwon
Mohamad Fazli bin Mohamad Salleh
32.1%6,048
PNPAS
Muhamad Nur Iqbal bin Abdul Razak
31.1%5,850
PHAMANAH
Elia Nadira
24.8%4,676
OTHERSBEBAS
Najib bin Lep
9.9%1,860
OTHERSBEBAS
Johar bin Siraj
1.1%207
OTHERSPEJUANG
Mohd Akhiri bin Mahmood
1.0%196

Current forecast

BNshare 54.8% · win 87%
PHshare 26.4% · win 9%
PNshare 16.3% · win 3%
OTHERSshare 1.0% · win 0%
GPSshare 0.5% · win 0%
GRSshare 0.5% · win 0%
WARISANshare 0.5% · win 0%

Why this forecast

Across PRN-JOHOR-2022–PRN-JOHOR-2026, time-decayed, BN holds the baseline edge at Bukit Pasir (55.5% to 26.6%) Shrunk toward the state baseline and brought to today: BN 54.8%, PH 26.4%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: BN 54.8% vs PH 26.4% — win 87% vs 9%. BN holds barring an upset. Run #149 → #155 moved nothing beyond noise.

Written from run #155's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.

Recent news tagged to this seat