Sarawak DUN forecast
PRN Sarawak outlookrun #11582 seatsmajority 42
PRN Sarawak is due on or before February 2027. Baseline: PRN 2021 (GPS 76 · PSB 4 · DAP 2 of 82).
P(gov ≥ 42)
100%
GPS working majority
P(hung)
0%
no bloc reaches 42
P(gov ≥ 2/3)
100%
two-thirds line
Largest bloc
GPS
most likely to hold most seats
Gov seats (GPS)
80
median forecast
Toss-ups
2
top bloc below 60%
Seat forecast by most-likely winner
GPS81OTHERS1toss-up (2, <60%)
Seats by bloc (median, 80% interval)
Pakatan Harapan
0[0–0]▼2
Barisan Nasional
0[0–0]
Gabungan Parti Sarawakgov
80[77–82]▲4
Gabungan Rakyat Sabah
0[0–0]
Warisan
0[0–0]
Others / Independents
2[0–5]▼2
Perikatan Nasional
0[0–0]
Who can form the government?
Probability each coalition reaches 42 seats across 10,000 simulated outcomes — arithmetic on the seat maps, not an endorsement.
GPS100%
GPS + PH100%