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Melaka PRN · 25dSarawak PRN · 103d
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JOHOR-N.027 — Layang-Layang

JOHOR

Results history

PRN Johor 2026 · 11 Jul 2026

BNMCAwon
Chua Jian Boon
67.2%11,579
PHPKR
Guna a/l Balakrishnan
21.3%3,667
PNBERSATU
Abd Mutalip bin Abd Rahim
11.6%1,993
PRN Johor 2022 · 12 Mar 2022 — won by BN · UMNO (55%)
BNUMNOwon
Abd Mutalip bin Abd Rahim
55.0%7,551
PHPKR
Maszlee bin Malik
34.5%4,736
PNBERSATU
Alagenthiran a/l Krishnan
9.3%1,278
OTHERSPEJUANG
Ahmad Shafiq bin Othaman
1.2%164

Current forecast

BNshare 64.6% · win 97%
PHshare 22.4% · win 2%
PNshare 11.0% · win 1%
GPSshare 0.5% · win 0%
GRSshare 0.5% · win 0%
OTHERSshare 0.5% · win 0%
WARISANshare 0.5% · win 0%

Why this forecast

Across PRN-JOHOR-2022–PRN-JOHOR-2026, time-decayed, BN holds the baseline edge at Layang-Layang (66.1% to 22.4%) Shrunk toward the state baseline and brought to today: BN 64.6%, PH 22.4%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: BN 64.6% vs PH 22.4% — win 97% vs 2%. BN holds barring an upset. Run #149 → #155 moved nothing beyond noise.

Written from run #155's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.

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