Results history
PRN Johor 2026 · 11 Jul 2026
BNUMNOwon
Norlizah binti Noh
PHPKR
Danish Hossman bin Abd Rahman
PNBERSATU
Aisah binti Esa
PRN Johor 2022 · 12 Mar 2022 — won by BN · UMNO (60.6%)
BNUMNOwon
Norlizah binti Noh
PNBERSATU
Mohamad Alias bin Rasman
PHPKR
Omar Mokhtar bin A Manap
OTHERSPEJUANG
Mohd Shukor bin Ahmad
Current forecast
BNshare 76.1% · win 100%
PHshare 11.5% · win 0%
PNshare 10.4% · win 0%
GPSshare 0.5% · win 0%
GRSshare 0.5% · win 0%
OTHERSshare 0.5% · win 0%
WARISANshare 0.5% · win 0%
Why this forecast
Across PRN-JOHOR-2022–PRN-JOHOR-2026, time-decayed, BN holds the baseline edge at Johor Lama (78.2% to 11.0%) Shrunk toward the state baseline and brought to today: BN 76.1%, PH 11.5%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: BN 76.1% vs PH 11.5% — win 100% vs 0%. BN holds barring an upset. Run #149 → #155 moved nothing beyond noise.
Written from run #155's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.
Recent news tagged to this seat
No tagged coverage in the current news window. The weekly cycle tags articles to seats via entity matching and LLM extraction — see methodology.