JOHOR-N.039 — Tanjung Surat

JOHOR

Results history

PRN Johor 2026 · 11 Jul 2026

BNUMNOwon

Aznan bin Tamin

90.5%17,473

PHPKR

Faizul bin Abdul Ghani

9.5%1,831

PRN Johor 2022 · 12 Mar 2022 — won by BN · UMNO (67%)

BNUMNOwon

Aznan bin Tamin

67.0%9,850

PNPAS

Selamat bin Ujud

26.8%3,947

PHPKR

Rosman bin Tahir

5.4%800

OTHERSPEJUANG

Samat bin Atan

0.7%110

Current forecast

BNshare 85.8% · win 100%

PHshare 9.9% · win 0%

PNshare 2.3% · win 0%

GPSshare 0.5% · win 0%

GRSshare 0.5% · win 0%

OTHERSshare 0.5% · win 0%

WARISANshare 0.5% · win 0%

Why this forecast

Across PRN-JOHOR-2022–PRN-JOHOR-2026, time-decayed, BN holds the baseline edge at Tanjung Surat (88.6% to 9.2%) Shrunk toward the state baseline and brought to today: BN 85.8%, PH 9.9%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: BN 85.8% vs PH 9.9% — win 100% vs 0%. BN holds barring an upset. Run #149 → #155 moved nothing beyond noise.

Written from run #155's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.

Recent news tagged to this seat

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