JOHOR-N.049 — Kota Iskandar

JOHOR

Results history

PRN Johor 2026 · 11 Jul 2026

BNUMNOwon

Pandak bin Ahmad

58.4%52,892

PHAMANAH

Dzulkefly bin Ahmad

35.0%31,686

PNMIPP

Anna Pravina a/p Segaran

3.6%3,249

OTHERSBERSAMA

Sahrudin bin Omar @ Kassim

3.0%2,691

PRN Johor 2022 · 12 Mar 2022 — won by BN · UMNO (40.8%)

BNUMNOwon

Pandak bin Ahmad

40.8%23,133

PHAMANAH

Dzulkefly bin Ahmad

33.1%18,773

PNBERSATU

Samsudin bin Ismail

22.0%12,503

OTHERSPEJUANG

Zaini bin Abu Bakar

2.3%1,308

OTHERSPSM

Arangkannal a/l Rajoo

1.8%997

Current forecast

BNshare 56.4% · win 84%

PHshare 34.3% · win 15%

PNshare 4.8% · win 0%

OTHERSshare 3.0% · win 0%

GPSshare 0.5% · win 0%

GRSshare 0.5% · win 0%

WARISANshare 0.5% · win 0%

Why this forecast

Across PRN-JOHOR-2022–PRN-JOHOR-2026, time-decayed, BN holds the baseline edge at Kota Iskandar (57.2% to 34.9%) Shrunk toward the state baseline and brought to today: BN 56.4%, PH 34.3%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: BN 56.4% vs PH 34.3% — win 84% vs 15%. Run #149 → #155 moved nothing beyond noise.

Written from run #155's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.

Recent news tagged to this seat

No tagged coverage in the current news window. The weekly cycle tags articles to seats via entity matching and LLM extraction — see methodology.