JOHOR-N.054 — Pulai Sebatang

JOHOR

Results history

PRN Johor 2026 · 11 Jul 2026

BNUMNOwon

Hasrunizah binti Hassan

70.5%23,376

PHPKR

Haniff @ Ghazali bin Hosman

29.5%9,786

PRN Johor 2022 · 12 Mar 2022 — won by BN · UMNO (50.1%)

BNUMNOwon

Hasrunizah binti Hassan

50.1%12,473

PHAMANAH

Suhaizan bin Kaiat

24.7%6,148

PNPAS

Abdullah bin Husin

23.9%5,967

OTHERSPEJUANG

Abd. Rashid bin Abd. Hadi

1.3%329

Current forecast

BNshare 67.4% · win 96%

PHshare 28.7% · win 3%

PNshare 2.0% · win 0%

GPSshare 0.5% · win 0%

GRSshare 0.5% · win 0%

OTHERSshare 0.5% · win 0%

WARISANshare 0.5% · win 0%

Why this forecast

Across PRN-JOHOR-2022–PRN-JOHOR-2026, time-decayed, BN holds the baseline edge at Pulai Sebatang (68.9% to 29.1%) Shrunk toward the state baseline and brought to today: BN 67.4%, PH 28.7%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: BN 67.4% vs PH 28.7% — win 96% vs 3%. BN holds barring an upset. Run #149 → #155 moved nothing beyond noise.

Written from run #155's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.

Recent news tagged to this seat

No tagged coverage in the current news window. The weekly cycle tags articles to seats via entity matching and LLM extraction — see methodology.