HitungKerusi
Melaka PRN · 25dSarawak PRN · 103d
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MELAKA-N.021 — Duyong

MELAKA

Results history

PRN Melaka 2021 · 20 Nov 2021

BNUMNOwon
Mohd Noor Helmy Abdul Halem
38.4%4,684
PHDAP
Damian Yeo Shen Li
36.7%4,484
PNPAS
Kamaruddin Sidek
23.5%2,874
OTHERSIND
Gan Tian Soh
0.5%60
OTHERSIND
Muhammad Hafiz Ishak
0.5%57
OTHERSPUTRA
Mohd Faizal Hamzah
0.4%52

Current forecast

BNshare 37.9% · win 62%
PHshare 35.8% · win 38%
PNshare 23.5% · win 0%
OTHERSshare 1.4% · win 0%
GPSshare 0.5% · win 0%
GRSshare 0.5% · win 0%
WARISANshare 0.5% · win 0%

Why this forecast

BN won Duyong in PRN Melaka 2021 (38.4% to 36.7% over PH) The state baseline keeps that standing: BN 37.8%, PH 35.8%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (3 stories). Expected vote: BN 37.9% vs PH 35.8% — win 62% vs 38%. Since run #150, BN win 65% → 62%. The shift comes from window turnover — older stories aged out of the lookback.

Written from run #156's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.

Recent news tagged to this seat