NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.008 — Bahau

Why this forecast

Across PRN-NSN-2023–PRN-NSN-2026, time-decayed, PH holds the baseline edge at Bahau (62.9% to 33.1%) Shrunk toward the state baseline and brought to today: PH 60.8%, BN 32.5%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: PH 60.8% vs BN 32.5% — win 90% vs 9%. PH holds barring an upset. Run #151 → #157 moved nothing beyond noise.

Written from run #157's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.