NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.012 — Temiang

Why this forecast

Across PRN-NSN-2023–PRN-NSN-2026, time-decayed, PH holds the baseline edge at Temiang (58.6% to 30.1%) Shrunk toward the state baseline and brought to today: PH 56.4%, BN 29.9%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: PH 56.4% vs BN 29.9% — win 88% vs 10%. PH holds barring an upset. Run #151 → #157 moved nothing beyond noise.

Written from run #157's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.