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Melaka PRN · 25dSarawak PRN · 103d
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NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.013 — Sikamat

NEGERI SEMBILAN

Results history

PRN Negeri Sembilan 2026 · 1 Aug 2026

PNWAWASANwon
Razali bin Abu Samah
57.4%15,052
PHPKR
Nor Azman bin Mohamad
40.5%10,639
OTHERSBERSATU
Tun Faisal Ismail bin Aziz
2.1%548
PRN Negeri Sembilan 2023 · 12 Aug 2023 — won by PH · PKR (54.8%)
PHPKRwon
Aminuddin bin Harun
54.8%12,730
PNBERSATU
Ahmad Raihan bin Muhamad Hilal
43.4%10,068
OTHERSBEBAS
Mohammed Hafiz bin Baharudin (Tok Merah)
1.5%339
OTHERSBEBAS
Bujang bin Abu
0.4%83

Current forecast

PNshare 53.6% · win 70%
PHshare 42.4% · win 29%
OTHERSshare 2.1% · win 0%
BNshare 0.5% · win 0%
GPSshare 0.5% · win 0%
GRSshare 0.5% · win 0%
WARISANshare 0.5% · win 0%

Why this forecast

Across PRN-NSN-2023–PRN-NSN-2026, time-decayed, PN holds the baseline edge at Sikamat (55.0% to 42.9%) Shrunk toward the state baseline and brought to today: PN 53.6%, PH 42.4%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: PN 53.6% vs PH 42.4% — win 70% vs 29%. Run #151 → #157 moved nothing beyond noise.

Written from run #157's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.

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