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Melaka PRN · 25dSarawak PRN · 103d
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NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.014 — Ampangan

NEGERI SEMBILAN

Results history

PRN Negeri Sembilan 2026 · 1 Aug 2026

PNPASwon
Mohamad Rafie bin Ab Malek
61.4%9,934
PHPKR
Muhammad Nazri bin Kassim
36.9%5,965
OTHERSBERSATU
Noor'Azah binti Harun (Azzah)
1.7%267
PRN Negeri Sembilan 2023 · 12 Aug 2023 — won by PH · PKR (40.7%)
PHPKRwon
Tengku Zamrah binti Tengku Sulaiman
40.7%6,054
PNBERSATU
Muhammad Ghazali bin Zainal Abidin
38.5%5,725
OTHERSBEBAS
Mohamad Rafie bin Ab Malek
20.7%3,079

Current forecast

PNshare 55.7% · win 80%
PHshare 37.5% · win 19%
OTHERSshare 4.8% · win 0%
BNshare 0.5% · win 0%
GPSshare 0.5% · win 0%
GRSshare 0.5% · win 0%
WARISANshare 0.5% · win 0%

Why this forecast

Across PRN-NSN-2023–PRN-NSN-2026, time-decayed, PN holds the baseline edge at Ampangan (57.5% to 37.6%) Shrunk toward the state baseline and brought to today: PN 55.7%, PH 37.5%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: PN 55.7% vs PH 37.5% — win 80% vs 19%. Run #151 → #157 moved nothing beyond noise.

Written from run #157's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.

Recent news tagged to this seat