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NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.015 — Juasseh

NEGERI SEMBILAN

Results history

PRN Negeri Sembilan 2026 · 1 Aug 2026

BNUMNOwon
Ismail bin Lasim
67.5%6,907
PHPKR
Mohd Aidil bin Abdullah
27.5%2,816
OTHERSBERSATU
Mohd Zuhaimi bin Md Yusof
4.9%506
PRN Negeri Sembilan 2023 · 12 Aug 2023 — won by BN · UMNO (50.4%)
BNUMNOwon
Bibi Sharliza binti Mohd Khalid
50.4%4,549
PNBERSATU
Eddin Syazlee bin Shith
49.6%4,471

Current forecast

BNshare 61.6% · win 95%
PHshare 23.7% · win 4%
PNshare 9.1% · win 1%
OTHERSshare 4.0% · win 0%
GPSshare 0.5% · win 0%
GRSshare 0.5% · win 0%
WARISANshare 0.5% · win 0%

Why this forecast

Across PRN-NSN-2023–PRN-NSN-2026, time-decayed, BN holds the baseline edge at Juasseh (64.7% to 22.9%) Shrunk toward the state baseline and brought to today: BN 61.6%, PH 23.7%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: BN 61.6% vs PH 23.7% — win 95% vs 4%. BN holds barring an upset. Run #151 → #157 moved nothing beyond noise.

Written from run #157's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.

Recent news tagged to this seat

No tagged coverage in the current news window. The weekly cycle tags articles to seats via entity matching and LLM extraction — see methodology.