Results history
PRN Negeri Sembilan 2026 · 1 Aug 2026
BNUMNOwon
Muhammad Sufian bin Maradzi
PHPKR
Mohd Kamarul Arifin bin Mohd Wafa
OTHERSBERSATU
Megat D.Shahriman bin Zaharudin
PRN Negeri Sembilan 2023 · 12 Aug 2023 — won by BN · UMNO (52.6%)
BNUMNOwon
Muhammad Sufian bin Maradzi
PNBERSATU
Jamali bin Salam
Current forecast
BNshare 67.3% · win 98%
PHshare 18.2% · win 1%
PNshare 9.3% · win 0%
OTHERSshare 3.8% · win 0%
GPSshare 0.5% · win 0%
GRSshare 0.5% · win 0%
WARISANshare 0.5% · win 0%
Why this forecast
Across PRN-NSN-2023–PRN-NSN-2026, time-decayed, BN holds the baseline edge at Seri Menanti (71.6% to 16.4%) Shrunk toward the state baseline and brought to today: BN 67.3%, PH 18.2%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: BN 67.3% vs PH 18.2% — win 98% vs 1%. BN holds barring an upset. Run #151 → #157 moved nothing beyond noise.
Written from run #157's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.
Recent news tagged to this seat
No tagged coverage in the current news window. The weekly cycle tags articles to seats via entity matching and LLM extraction — see methodology.