Results history
PRN Negeri Sembilan 2026 · 1 Aug 2026
BNUMNOwon
Mohamad Qayyum bin Abd Jalil
PHAMANAH
Mohd Hanis bin Mohd Alimin
OTHERSBERSATU
Mohd Izaffi bin Istear Khan
PRN Negeri Sembilan 2023 · 12 Aug 2023 — won by BN · UMNO (54.9%)
BNUMNOwon
Ismail bin Lasim
PNBERSATU
Amrina binti Mohd Khalid
Current forecast
BNshare 62.2% · win 95%
PHshare 22.5% · win 3%
PNshare 9.1% · win 1%
OTHERSshare 4.7% · win 0%
GPSshare 0.5% · win 0%
GRSshare 0.5% · win 0%
WARISANshare 0.5% · win 0%
Why this forecast
Across PRN-NSN-2023–PRN-NSN-2026, time-decayed, BN holds the baseline edge at Senaling (66.2% to 21.1%) Shrunk toward the state baseline and brought to today: BN 62.2%, PH 22.5%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: BN 62.2% vs PH 22.5% — win 95% vs 3%. BN holds barring an upset. Run #151 → #157 moved nothing beyond noise.
Written from run #157's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.
Recent news tagged to this seat
- 24 Jul 2026PRN NS: Qayyum Pemimpin Muda, Sambung Legasi Di Senaling - UMNO Onlinegoogle-news-bn-ms · BN +0.3
- 22 Jul 2026Calon Pakatan Harapan (PH) bagi Dewan Undangan Negeri (DUN) Senaling, Mohd Hanis Mohd Alimin bertekad mewujudkan lebih banyak peluang pekerjaan di kawasan itu bagi mengurangkan penghijrahan golongan muda ke bandar. Menurutnya, kekura - Facebookgoogle-news-ph-ms · PH +0.1