Results history
PRN Negeri Sembilan 2026 · 1 Aug 2026
BNUMNOwon
S Leza binti Md Yasin
PHPKR
Noorzunita Begum binti Mohd Ibrahim
PRN Negeri Sembilan 2023 · 12 Aug 2023 — won by PH · PKR (54.7%)
PHPKRwon
Noorzunita Begum binti Mohd Ibrahim
PNPAS
Rafiei bin Mustapha
Current forecast
PHshare 47.1% · win 57%
BNshare 42.7% · win 41%
PNshare 8.2% · win 1%
GPSshare 0.5% · win 0%
GRSshare 0.5% · win 0%
OTHERSshare 0.5% · win 0%
WARISANshare 0.5% · win 0%
Why this forecast
Across PRN-NSN-2023–PRN-NSN-2026, time-decayed, PH holds the baseline edge at Pilah (48.4% to 44.1%) Shrunk toward the state baseline and brought to today: PH 47.1%, BN 42.7%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: PH 47.1% vs BN 42.7% — win 57% vs 41%. A genuine toss-up. Run #151 → #157 moved nothing beyond noise.
Written from run #157's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.