NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.019 — Johol

Why this forecast

Across PRN-NSN-2023–PRN-NSN-2026, time-decayed, BN holds the baseline edge at Johol (72.4% to 21.1%) Shrunk toward the state baseline and brought to today: BN 68.3%, PH 22.1%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: BN 68.3% vs PH 22.1% — win 98% vs 2%. BN holds barring an upset. Run #151 → #157 moved nothing beyond noise.

Written from run #157's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.