NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.027 — Rantau

Why this forecast

Across PRN-NSN-2023–PRN-NSN-2026, time-decayed, BN holds the baseline edge at Rantau (72.8% to 22.4%) Shrunk toward the state baseline and brought to today: BN 70.4%, PH 22.4%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: BN 70.4% vs PH 22.4% — win 98% vs 1%. BN holds barring an upset. Run #151 → #157 moved nothing beyond noise.

Written from run #157's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.