NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.028 — Kota

Why this forecast

Across PRN-NSN-2023–PRN-NSN-2026, time-decayed, BN holds the baseline edge at Kota (73.9% to 15.9%) Shrunk toward the state baseline and brought to today: BN 70.6%, PH 17.0%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: BN 70.6% vs PH 17.0% — win 99% vs 1%. BN holds barring an upset. Run #151 → #157 moved nothing beyond noise.

Written from run #157's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.