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SARAWAK-N.047 — Pakan

SARAWAK

Results history

PRN Sarawak 2021 · 18 Dec 2021

GPSPBBwon
William Mawan Ikom
41.1%3,268
OTHERSIND
Tedong Gunda
32.1%2,554
OTHERSPSB
Hareward Gramong Joseph Allen
18.7%1,484
OTHERSIND
Brawi Anguong
6.4%506
OTHERSPBK
Jemeli Kerah
1.7%133

Current forecast

GPSshare 53.6% · win 88%
OTHERSshare 43.8% · win 12%
BNshare 0.5% · win 0%
GRSshare 0.5% · win 0%
PHshare 0.5% · win 0%
PNshare 0.5% · win 0%
WARISANshare 0.5% · win 0%

Why this forecast

OTHERS won Pakan in PRN Sarawak 2021 (58.9% to 41.1% over GPS) The baseline adjustments reverse that order: GPS 53.6%, OTHERS 43.8%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: GPS 53.6% vs OTHERS 43.8% — win 88% vs 12%. GPS holds barring an upset. Run #153 → #159 moved nothing beyond noise.

Written from run #159's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.

Recent news tagged to this seat

No tagged coverage in the current news window. The weekly cycle tags articles to seats via entity matching and LLM extraction — see methodology.