SARAWAK-N.061 — Pelagus

SARAWAK

Results history

PRN Sarawak 2021 · 18 Dec 2021

GPSPRSwon

Wilson Nyabong Ijang

56.3%2,843

OTHERSPSB

Kristoffer Nyuak Bajok

35.5%1,794

PHDAP

Solomon Kumbong

4.9%250

OTHERSPBK

Nyambong Sibat

1.7%88

OTHERSPBDSB

Moses Ripai

1.5%76

Current forecast

GPSshare 58.5% · win 100%

OTHERSshare 31.2% · win 0%

PHshare 8.3% · win 0%

BNshare 0.5% · win 0%

GRSshare 0.5% · win 0%

PNshare 0.5% · win 0%

WARISANshare 0.5% · win 0%

Why this forecast

GPS won Pelagus in PRN Sarawak 2021 (56.3% to 38.8% over OTHERS) With a single election 5 years old, the model pulls the seat toward the state baseline: GPS 58.5%, OTHERS 31.2%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: GPS 58.5% vs OTHERS 31.2% — win 100% vs 0%. GPS holds barring an upset. Run #153 → #159 moved nothing beyond noise.

Written from run #159's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.

Recent news tagged to this seat

No tagged coverage in the current news window. The weekly cycle tags articles to seats via entity matching and LLM extraction — see methodology.