Results history
PRN Sarawak 2021 · 18 Dec 2021
GPSSUPPwon
Lee Kim Shin
PHDAP
Marcus Hugo
OTHERSPSB
Lee Tze Ha
OTHERSPBK
Ngieng Sheng Chung
OTHERSPBDSB
Bobby William
Current forecast
GPSshare 60.8% · win 100%
OTHERSshare 22.5% · win 0%
PHshare 14.7% · win 0%
BNshare 0.5% · win 0%
GRSshare 0.5% · win 0%
PNshare 0.5% · win 0%
WARISANshare 0.5% · win 0%
Why this forecast
GPS won Senadin in PRN Sarawak 2021 (62.3% to 20.3% over OTHERS) With a single election 5 years old, the model pulls the seat toward the state baseline: GPS 60.8%, OTHERS 22.5%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: GPS 60.8% vs OTHERS 22.5% — win 100% vs 0%. GPS holds barring an upset. Run #153 → #159 moved nothing beyond noise.
Written from run #159's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.
Recent news tagged to this seat
No tagged coverage in the current news window. The weekly cycle tags articles to seats via entity matching and LLM extraction — see methodology.