SARAWAK-N.079 — Bukit Kota

Why this forecast

GPS won Bukit Kota in PRN Sarawak 2021 (78.8% to 21.2% over OTHERS) With a single election 5 years old, the model pulls the seat toward the state baseline: GPS 72.0%, OTHERS 25.5%. No poll or by-election moves the swing layer. Tagged coverage adds nothing here (0 stories). Expected vote: GPS 72.0% vs OTHERS 25.5% — win 100% vs 0%. GPS holds barring an upset. Run #153 → #159 moved nothing beyond noise.

Written from run #159's inputs — every figure traces to the methodology.