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Melaka PRN · 27dSarawak PRN · 105d

Negeri Sembilan DUN forecast

post-PRN 2026 viewrun #11336 seatsmajority 19
PRN Negeri Sembilan 2026 (1 August): the BN+PN alliance won 25 of 36 (BN 18 · PN 7) against PH's 11. Per-seat data from the MECo corpus. Next PRN ~2031.
P(gov ≥ 19)
89%
BN+PN working majority
P(hung)
79%
no bloc reaches 19
P(gov ≥ 2/3)
33%
two-thirds line
Largest bloc
BN
most likely to hold most seats
Gov seats (BN+PN)
22
median forecast
Toss-ups
2
top bloc below 60%

Seat forecast by most-likely winner

Majority line — 19 seatsMAJ 1936SEATSNEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.006 — BN 100%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.026 — BN 100%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.003 — BN 99%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.028 — BN 99%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.027 — BN 98%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.016 — BN 98%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.019 — BN 98%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.009 — BN 97%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.035 — BN 97%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.002 — BN 96%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.017 — BN 95%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.015 — BN 95%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.007 — BN 92%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.032 — BN 85%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.020 — BN 65%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.034 — PN 99%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.005 — PN 99%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.031 — PN 99%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.025 — PN 91%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.014 — PN 80%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.013 — PN 70%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.004 — PN 64%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.011 — PH 100%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.023 — PH 100%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.021 — PH 98%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.030 — PH 94%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.024 — PH 93%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.029 — PH 92%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.022 — PH 91%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.008 — PH 90%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.012 — PH 88%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.010 — PH 83%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.033 — PH 79%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.036 — PH 65%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.001 — PH 58%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.018 — PH 57%GOVERNMENT · 22OPPOSITION · 14
BN15PN7PH14toss-up (2, <60%)

Seats by bloc (median, 80% interval)

Pakatan Harapan
14[9–17]▲3
Barisan Nasionalgov
16[13–19]▼2
Gabungan Parti Sarawak
0[0–0]
Gabungan Rakyat Sabah
0[0–0]
Warisan
0[0–0]
Others / Independents
0[0–1]
Perikatan Nasionalgov
6[4–8]▼1

Who can form the government?

Probability each coalition reaches 19 seats across 10,000 simulated outcomes — arithmetic on the seat maps, not an endorsement.

BN + PN89%
BN16%
PH6%

Constituency map — forecast lean (click a seat)

NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.001 N.01 Chennah — 58%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.002 N.02 Pertang — 96%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.003 N.03 Sungai Lui — 99%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.004 N.04 Klawang — 64%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.005 N.05 Serting — 99%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.006 N.06 Palong — 100%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.007 N.07 Jeram Padang — 92%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.008 N.08 Bahau — 90%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.009 N.09 Lenggeng — 97%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.010 N.10 Nilai — 83%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.011 N.11 Lobak — 100%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.012 N.12 Temiang — 88%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.013 N.13 Sikamat — 70%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.014 N.14 Ampangan — 80%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.015 N.15 Juasseh — 95%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.016 N.16 Seri Menanti — 98%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.017 N.17 Senaling — 95%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.018 N.18 Pilah — 57%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.019 N.19 Johol — 98%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.020 N.20 Labu — 65%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.021 N.21 Bukit Kepayang — 98%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.022 N.22 Rahang — 91%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.023 N.23 Mambau — 100%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.024 N.24 Seremban Jaya — 93%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.025 N.25 Paroi — 91%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.026 N.26 Chembong — 100%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.027 N.27 Rantau — 98%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.028 N.28 Kota — 99%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.029 N.29 Chuah — 92%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.030 N.30 Lukut — 94%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.031 N.31 Bagan Pinang — 99%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.032 N.32 Linggi — 85%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.033 N.33 Sri Tanjung — 79%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.034 N.34 Gemas — 99%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.035 N.35 Gemencheh — 97%NEGERI_SEMBILAN-N.036 N.36 Repah — 65%Constituency boundaries (MECo-maps) — faded seats are toss-ups (top bloc < 60%)